Kalshi & Polymarket Automation
Prediction markets have crossed from academic experiment into a legitimate asset class. We build automated trading systems, portfolio management tools, data analysis pipelines, and execution bots specifically for prediction markets.
Understanding Prediction Markets
Kalshi
- •CFTC-regulated designated contract market (DCM)
- •USD-settled, accessible to all US residents
- •Economics, weather, finance, politics, entertainment markets
- •REST API with limit/market orders and cancel-replace
Polymarket
- •Polygon blockchain with CLOB architecture
- •USDC-denominated, settled on-chain
- •Broader range of markets than Kalshi
- •Conditional tokens (ERC-1155), DeFi composability
Our Prediction Market Services
Kalshi API Trading Bots
Automated systems for the CFTC-regulated exchange. Portfolio strategies, market-making, time-decay exploitation, and contrarian strategies.
Polymarket Automation
Programmatic order management, portfolio rebalancing, arbitrage detection, conditional token management, and on-chain analytics.
Cross-Platform Arbitrage
Real-time monitoring of overlapping markets on both platforms. Net profitability calculations after all fees, gas costs, and settlement differences.
Data Analysis & Research
Probability dashboards, calibration analysis, event databases, sentiment tracking, and backtesting infrastructure for prediction markets.
Portfolio Management
Expected value tracking, Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes, correlation monitoring, and automated rebalancing as resolution dates approach.
Risk Management for Event Trading
Prediction markets carry unique risks that traditional risk models do not fully address.
Binary Outcome Risk
Every contract resolves to $0 or $1. Position sizing is your primary risk management tool.
Correlation Risk
Many contracts cluster around election outcomes or economic themes. Portfolio may have concentrated exposure.
Liquidity Risk
Thinner order books than traditional markets. Our bots include slippage-aware sizing and TWAP execution.
Resolution Risk
Contracts resolve on specific criteria. Our systems flag contracts with ambiguous resolution language.
Regulatory Risk
Evolving landscape. Kalshi provides CFTC clarity. Polymarket operates in less certain regulatory environment.
Prediction Market Pricing
Single strategy, portfolio monitoring, basic risk management.
Multi-strategy, cross-market, portfolio management, analytics dashboard.
Multi-platform connectivity, real-time arbitrage detection, automated execution.
Data pipelines, dashboards, calibration tools, and backtesting infrastructure.
Build Your Prediction Market Trading System
The participants who get automated first will capture the most opportunity. Tell us what you trade on Kalshi or Polymarket and what you need automated.